NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Saints vs. Packers
Saints
-4 -110
  at  5DIMES
in 16h

I'm not going to be shy about this , two time MVP QB Aaron Rodgers, was a one man wrecking crew for the Green Bay Packers. When he went down last week vs the Minnesota Vikings with a broken collar bone, I'm sure  the Packer nations hearts were broken and the fragments flushed down the proverbial toilet on a promising season. With that said,  I'm not a fan  of his replacement Brett Hundley, and feel strongly the Packers are now at a big disadvantage despite of playing at home this week vs New Orleans. Green Bay even when Rodgers was healthy never did very well against NFC South opposition going a sub par 9-11 SU . The last time Green Bay played without Rodgers 4 seasons ago they won only 2 of 7 games , and were just 0-4 ATS at home. Note: The  Saints have given up an opponent passer rating of 56.7 during their current three-game winning streak.

Projected score: New Orleans 27 Green Bay 17

Play on the Saints to cover  

NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Seahawks vs. Giants
Seahawks
-3½ -110
  at  5DIMES
in 19h

10* FREE NFL PICK (Seahawks -3.5) 

The fact that the Giants dominated on the scoreboard, winning by 13 as a 13.5-point dog will have a lot of people second-guessing themselves when it comes to whether or not they should fade them again this week.

On top of that, the Seahawks haven’t exactly looked great so far, despite the fact that they are 3-2. I believe it’s actually created some value here on Seattle, as I think they have no problem winning by at least a touchdown in New York.

I believe the Giants caught the Broncos off guard, as a lot of people just thought this team would lay down after they lost both Odell Beckham Jr and Brandon Marshall. New York instead turned to their running game, rushing it a season-high 32 times. They piled on 148 yards against a Denver run defense that had been outstanding, which only strengthens my thought process that the Broncos just didn’t show up with the right mentality.

That’s not going to be the case with Seattle, who now has a good idea of what to expect from this new-look Giants offense. The Seahawks have routinely had one of the best defenses in the NFL and with the talent they have in the secondary, they will be able to load the box and take away that running game.

Another key factor here is that the Seahawks have a big scheduling advantage coming off their bye. That extra week to prepare and recharge the mind and body is huge this time of year. Not to mention the Seahawks have historically been a team that starts slow and turns it on about this time under Pete Carroll.

New York is also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after a straight up win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after holding their previous opponent under 90 yards rushing. Seattle is 50-33 ATS after the first month of the season since Carroll took over as head coach and 10-4 against teams from the NFC East. Give me the Seahawks -3.5! 

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NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Ravens vs. Vikings
Vikings
-5 -110
  at  5DIMES
in 16h

I'm recommending a play on the Minnesota Vikings minus the points on Sunday.  The Baltimore offense is an absolute disaster.  They're completely one-dimensional, unable to pass the football with any kind of consistent success. The only mode of transportation that has worked at all this season has been the ground game, but they're running into the 3rd stingiest run defense in the NFL.  Last week was so bad, not only did they gain just 291 total yards, but the Ravens' offense didn't score a single TD.  Defensively, the Ravens are one of the three worst teams against the run and we expect the Vikings' offense, ranked 12th in both the run and pass, to be able to distance themselves from Baltimore throughout the course of the contest.  The Vikings are on a 20-6 ATS run at home and we'll lay the points on Sunday. Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Cardinals vs. Rams
Cardinals
+3 -105
  at  BOVADA
in 16h

This is GAME OF THE MONTH WEEKEND. As the best big game 'capper on the planet, I will get you paid this weekend as I have my BIG 12, BIG TEN, and NCAAF TOTAL OF THE MONTH as well as my NFL NFC and TOTAL OF THE MONTH. That's right! 5 GAMES OF THE MONTH that will get you paid. If you don't follow me here, you are costing yourself money.

FREE NFL WINNER: New Orleans Saints.

Game 476.

10:00 am pst.

Adrian Peterson is just what Arizona needed to get over the hump. The veteran RB erupted for 134 YR and 2 TD's in his first game donning a cardinals uniform. The legs of Peterson will keep defenses honest and allow QB, Carson Palmer to do what he does best, throw the football. LA is a very young team with a bright future but their only decisive victory came in week 1 over an Indy tea, starting a backup QB. The Rams defense ranks 29th vs. the run and has to face AP here. the Cards "D" is very good against the rush and will slow down Todd Gurley, forcing 2nd year QB, Jared Goff (13 TD's & 10 INT's) to make mistakes. Getting 3 1/2 points here is a gift. The Road team is 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Arizona is 4-0 ATS the L4 games played in LA. LA is 1-10-1 ATS their L12 games vs. the NFC. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Titans vs. Browns
Titans
-5½ -113
  at  BETONLINE
in 16h

Tennessee -5.5

The Titans battle the Browns and this number is too small given how bad the Browns have played this year.

They have struggled to even decide who gets the ball at QB. Kizer was benched for Kevin Hogan last week, but Kizer will once again get the ball here on Sunday.

Offensively, Cleveland just makes way too many mistakes. Averaging only 15.7 points per game, the Browns have seen more of their punter than anyone else this season.

Tennessee comes in off a huge win against the Colts, as they climbed back to the .500 mark. Derrick Henry has a huge game as he put up 131 yards and a touchdown to go with it. He will certainly get fed the ball a lot here, as this Cleveland defense has a lot of gaps in it.

Some trends to note.  Browns are 6-25-1 ATS in their last 32 games overall.Browns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games.

The Browns are just simply a struggle right now.

Back Tennessee.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Wyoming vs. Boise State
Wyoming
+14 -110
  at  5DIMES
in 1h

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Wyoming +14

The Boise State Broncos are getting too much love now after beating San Diego State 31-14 on the road last week as 4-point underdogs.  But that was a misleading final as the Broncos were aided by a 53-yard punt return TD and a 34-yard fumble recovery TD to start the game.  The numbers show that Boise State simply isn't a very good team.  The Broncos have actually been outgained in four of their six games this season.  Wyoming has turned the corner after a brutal early schedule with losses to Oregon and Iowa.  They have won three straight coming in while covering the spread in all three.  Wyoming beat Boise State 30-28 last year.  The Broncos will want revenge, but they should not be favored by two touchdowns here.  The Broncos are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games, and 0-8 ATS as home favorites over the last two seasons.  The Cowboys are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 conference games.  Take Wyoming.

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NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Jets vs. Dolphins
OVER
38 -110
  at  BOVADA
in 16h

1* write up to follow 

NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Colorado vs. Washington State
Colorado
+10½ -110
  at  BMAKER
in 1h

Some of you will recall that I successfully played against the Cougars, at Cal, last week, the start of a 14-4 Fri/Sat/Sun streak. Washington State was "riding high," entering that game. The 6-0 Cougs had a top-ten ranking and were coming off victories over USC and Oregon. They'd close as -16.5 point favorites.

Then, Friday The 13th got them. Something did, anyway. The Cougs didn't show up and the Bears came away with a convincing 37-3 victory. Thats right. They beat the closing line by 50 points. 

Off that rude awakening, I'm not sure that the Cougs are ready to be laying double-digits here. Colorado, which beat WSU by 14 points last season, is 9-4 ATS its last 13 true road games. Both this season's road games have been close, each decided by four or fewer points. Take a look at the visitors here. 

NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Cardinals vs. Rams
UNDER
47½ -110
  at  BETONLINE
in 16h

Free Pick on Rams/Cardinals UNDER

I think we get another defensive battle in London with the Rams and Cardinals. These two NFC West rivals combined for 50 in the final meeting last year, but that was all Arizona in a 44-6 win. The previous six meetings all finished with 46 or fewer points and I look for it to return to form here. 

The Rams got people excited about their offense early, but they put up big numbers against bad defenses. I know the Cardinals have allowed 30+ in each of their last two games, but they had the Bucs held to just 6 points last week before taking their foot off the gas in the 4th quarter. A mistake they won't make again after letting it get too close at the end. 

The other key here is the Rams are starting to play up to their potential on defense. It started in the 2nd half against Dallas when new DC Wade Phillips moved a couple rookies into the starting lineup. They have been lights out since and I think they make life miserable for the Cardinals in this one. 

UNDER is 9-3 in the Rams last 12 games against division opponents and 11-5 in their last 16 off a win. It's also 7-3 in the Cardinals east 10 against the NFC West and 4-1 in their last 5 after giving up 30+ points. Take the UNDER! 

NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Cardinals vs. Rams
UNDER
47½ -125
  at  BETONLINE
in 16h

These NFC West rivals take their game to Great Britain on Sunday as they play in Twickenham. All was well with the Cardinals for a week as they beat the Bucs 38-33 last time out. They had scored just 42 points over the previous three weeks. Adrian Peterson became relevant one week and I'm not quite sure that happens again this week. Ironically, this will be Peterson's second trip overseas as he did the same with the Saints a few weeks ago. The Rams offense has been putting up good numbers, but they finally get to face another solid unit. Jared Goff has struggled a bit as of late as the team has six turnovers the last two weeks. The Rams have gone under in nine of their last 15 games as a favorite and 22 of their last 38 overall. 

NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Saints vs. Packers
Saints
-5½ -109
  at  BMAKER
in 16h

After losing 2 straight (0-2 SU & ATS) to open the season, the Saints have won 3 straight games (3-0 SU & ATS) while QB Brees has the offense humming while scoring 20, 34 & 52 points the last three games. The defense has forced 9 Turnovers in those 3 victories as well. That's going to be trouble for a Packers offense that lost QB Rogers to injury last Sunday and now starts the inexperienced QB Hundley, who tossed 3 Interceptions and only completed 18 of 33 when replacing Rogers last weekend. This Packers roster isn't very deep this season and was winning behind QB Rogers and WRs Cobb & Nelson. With QB Rogers out, this line is INFLATED and Green Bay shouldn't be getting +5.5 points at Lambeau Field, which would make the Saints -11.5 point chalk if this game were played in New Orleans! There'a little value in this point spread, which is why this rates only as a 10* Play. However, expecting the Saints defense to make the difference in covering the spread by forcing some key Turnovers from a GB offense that has no running game to help out former UCLA QB Hundley as he makes his 1st NFL start.

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NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Fresno State vs. San Diego State
Fresno State
+7½ -108
  at  BETONLINE
in 1h

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Fresno State +7.5

The betting markets have been slow to catch on to how good the Fresno State Bulldogs are this season.  I think they're still behind the eight ball here as the Bulldogs are catching 7.5 points at San Diego State in a game they will likely win outright tonight.

Jeff Tedford came back to college football in a good situation here as there were 16 returning starters for Fresno State.  And he has made the most out of it.  The Bulldogs are 4-2 this season with their two losses coming against two of the best teams in college football in Alabama and Washington, and they covered the spread in both games.

In fact, the Bulldogs are a perfect 6-0 ATS this season.  They are coming off a 38-0 beat down of New Mexico last week, which is even more impressive when you consider the Lobos were coming off a bye week.  I'm not so sure that Fresno State isn't the best team in the Mountain West this season in what has proven to be a wide open conference.

This is an awful spot for the San Diego State Aztecs.  They will be deflated after suffering their first loss of the season last week, a 14-31 upset home loss to Boise State.  The air has been let out of the balloon now as the Aztecs realize they won't be the Group of 5 representative for a New Year's Bowl.  I don't expect them to get back up off the mat in time to put away a game Fresno State team by more than a touchdown this week.

The Bulldogs have really turned the corner since making the change to Oregon State transfer Marcus McMaryion a few weeks back.  He has come in and lit it up by completing 65.8% of his passes for 966 yards with a 7-to-1 TD/INT ratio and 8.7 per attempt.  He has also rushed for 133 yards and 5.3 per carry, adding a nice dual-threat element to the offense that Chason Virgil simply did not have.

And this is actually a great matchup for Fresno State because their strength on defense is stopping the run, and San Diego State is an awful passing team that relies almost exclusively on the running the football.  The Bulldogs are only allowing 111 rushing yards per game and 3.6 per carry against teams that normally average 157 yards per game and 4.3 per carry.  Those numbers become even more impressive when you consider they've had to face Alabama and Washington.

Fresno State is a perfect 9-0 ATS in its last nine games after a game where it committed one or fewer turnovers over the last two seasons.  The Bulldogs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.  Fresno State is 6-0 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Aztecs are 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. a team with a winning record.  The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings with SDSU.  Bet Fresno State Saturday.

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NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Titans vs. Browns
Titans
-5½ -113
  at  BETONLINE
in 16h

Titans -5.5

This play just missed out on our premium card. The Tennessee Titans and the Cleveland Browns face off on Sunday, and the visiting team have the advantage here.

The Cleveland Browns have been well, the Cleveland Browns this year, and that isn't a good thing at all.

The Browns have lost all six games so far this year, and in last five of those games they have failed to cover the spread.

They are going back with DeShone Kizer in this game and he has really struggled this year. He has thrown for 851 yards and three touchdowns.

The big issue though is he has thrown nine picks. I think that he will struggle again in this game and that will be the difference.

Some trends to note. Road team is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Cleveland.

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Good Luck, Cappers Club.

NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Bengals vs. Steelers
Bengals
+5½ -110
  at  5DIMES
in 19h

Recommendation: Take the Cincinnati Bengals (#455)

Teddy delivered a 4-0 Sunday/Monday Night NFL sweep, now hitting 63% through the first six weeks of 2017.  Teddy's riding a 67% MLB hot streak since the start of the playoffs!  And Teddy went 2-0 with his first two bets of the NBA season, both easy, 'right side' winners!  Don't miss a single cash all weekend long!

The Pittsburgh Steelers got a win and cover against the Chiefs last week, but it wasn’t because their offense was fixed.  Pittsburgh has struggle week after week on the offensive side of the football, averaging less than 20 points per game (#22 in the NFL) despite their bevy of skill position talent.  Much of the problem has come from the QB position, where, quite frankly, Ben Roethlisberger looks old.  And the quotes coming out of the Steelers locker room have this bettor very concerned with the fragile mental state of this team right now.

Check out this Roethlisberger quote, talking about former tight end Heath Miller, who retired two years ago.  “You develop that relationship with Heath over years and years in practice. Plus the type of person and teammate he was. He was probably the best teammate I’ve ever played with and one of the best men I’ve ever known in my life.”  Contrast that quote with the Martavis Bryant ‘I want to be traded’ rumors.  Note the modest production from rookie WR JuJu Smith Schuster.

Right now, Antonio Brown is the only consistent downfield weapon that they have.  RB LeVeon Bell had 35 touches on the Steelers 63 offensive snaps last week – too many for a balanced offense.  In three October starts, Big Ben has a 2-7 TD-INT ratio, and he currently ranks #30 out of 32 NFL QB’s in passer rating.  Both TD passes during that span came on poorly thrown balls – both could have been INT’s!  And it’s surely worth noting that the Steelers lauded home field edge at Heinz Field isn’t so great these days.  Mike Tomlin’s squad is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven regular season tries as home chalk.

While the Steelers offense continues to struggle, the Bengals appear to have figured it out!  Andy Dalton threw four picks without a TD over the first two weeks before Marvin Lewis fired offensive coordinator Ken Zampese after facing a ‘near mutiny’ in the locker room.  The Red Rifle completed only 54% of his passes while averaging just 6.0 yards per attempt in those games.

In the three games under new OC Bill Lazor, there’s been a ‘night and day’ type difference.  Dalton’s completion percentage is up to 73%, he’s averaging 8.9 yards per attempt with a 7-2 TD-INT ratio.  Tight end Tyler Kroft is developing into a solid weapon over the middle for Dalton; a team that isn’t missing injured tight end Tyler Eifert as much as they did last year.  This sure feels like a ‘somebody wins it by a field goal’ kind of game.  Too many points!  Take the Bengals.

NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Wyoming vs. Boise State
Wyoming
+14 -109
  at  5DIMES
in 1h

Wyoming/Boise State 10:15: Pretty good value with Wyoming - coming off back to back wins as much heralded QB Josh Allen starting to find his rhythm. He does miss RB Brian Hill as the running game is suffering. Nevertheless, we'll ride the momentum with the Cowboys who are now 10-1 ATS in October. They are not ready to hang with the big boys yet - getting waxed by Iowa and Oregon; however, they're 10-2 ATS against conference foes and 7-0 ATS as a road dog of less than 23 points vs an opponent off back to back wins. Sure, Boise is coming off some impressive wins and looking to avenge last year's loss; however, Boise just 3-13 ATS at home. Blue turf no longer an automatic under HC Harsin. We'll take the two touchdowns. 

NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Fresno State vs. San Diego State
Fresno State
+7½ -115
  at  BETONLINE
in 1h
Free Play on Fresno State +7½ -115
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Wyoming vs. Boise State
OVER
44½ -110
  at  BMAKER
in 1h

COLLEGE FOOTBALL 75 DIME GAME

BOISE ST/WYOMING 44.5 OVER

There is plenty of talent on both sides of the ball in this game  as much as you'll see between any two Group of 5 programs in the country. That said, I expect this one to be decided on the sidelines. The Broncos are coming off of a big win over San Diego State, but there's more to that game as you peel back the layers. Boise State didn't do much offensively and relied on big plays from the defense and special teams to jump ahead. Craig Bohl's Cowboys won't rely on the run like San Diego State did and will be much more careful with the football. On defense, I expect Wyoming to key on Broncos running back Alexander Mattison to take him away from Rypien as often as possible, leading to a sound.

According to my algorithm, I have Wyoming winning 28-24. Lay the money on the over here.

NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Cowboys vs. 49ers
49ers
+6½ -110
  at  5DIMES
in 19h

Play - San Francisco 49ers (Game 470).

Edges - 49ers: 5-1 SU at home following three consecutive away games; and 8-3-1 ATS in this series; and 8-4 SUATS last 12 games versus NFC East opponents… Cowboys: 3-11 ATS as road chalk with Garret against foes off an ATS win… With the Niners returning home off five straight losses by a filed gal or less, we recommend a 1* play on San Francisco.  Thank you and good luck as always.

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NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Cowboys vs. 49ers
UNDER
49 -115
  at  BOVADA
in 19h
1* Free Play on Cowboys/49ers under 49 -115
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Panthers vs. Bears
Bears
+3 +110
  at  BOVADA
in 16h

Rating: 2 Unit NFL Free Pick

Chicago rookie QB Mitchell Trubisky had an encouraging debut and has gotten the Bears  a pair of ATS covers and an upset win at Baltimore in his two starts. Additionally John Fox has been covering spreads with a bunch of different QBs (Jay Cutler, Brian Hoyer, Matt Barkley, Glennon, and Trubisky) while posting a 7-1-1 home underdog record since a year ago. That ATS log will continue as long as running back Jordan Howard (167 yards rushing vs. Ravens) has a good game and can remove pressure from Trubisky. Although Carolina is 3-0 on road some of Cam’s bad habits with 3 interceptions reared their ugly head vs. Eagles, and Panthers haven't had an easy win since their opener versus San Francisco.

NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Colorado vs. Washington State
Washington State
-9 -115
  at  BETONLINE
in 1h

The Colorado Buffaloes (4-3 Overall, 1-3 Away) travel to face the Washington State Cougars (6-1 Overall, 3-1 Home) in a battle of two PAC 12 foes. 

The Colorado Buffaloes have not shot at the PAC 12 title and have underachieved this season. With close losses to UCLA and Arizona, the Buffs have proven to be one of the lower tier teams in the conference.

Washington State on the other hand, controlled their own destiny to go to the college football playoffs, but proved to be the same ole Washington State. They were demolished by the Cal Bears, 37-3 October 12th.

Look for Washington State to get back on track tonight against the Buffaloes.  Take Washington State in a blowout.