#929/930 ASA PLAY ON Over 9 Runs – Texas Rangers vs Washington Nationals, Wednesday at 8 PM ET - The Rangers won yesterday's game 7 to 1.  This ended a stretch of some big scoring games for the Nationals.  Washington had won 4 straight games and scored an average of 8 runs per game during this 4-game winning streak!  Both teams' bullpens have an ERA that ranks in the middle of the MLB rankings and the Nationals have allowed a high batting average so they are likely going to drop in the bullpen rankings as the season goes on.  In terms of starting pitchers here we like the fact that the Rangers Heaney is 0-3 with a 6.26 ERA and this should get the Nationals bats going again as they were heating up prior to yesterday's game.  Heaney has allowed 2 homers in each of his last 2 starts.  Also, he has given up 10 earned runs in his 10 innings on the mound in his 2 home starts this season!  The Nationals Trevor Williams, on the other hand, does have good numbers early this season but he faces a Rangers team that has a slugging percentage that ranks 4th in the majors when they are at home.  Texas has scored an average of 5 runs in their last 3 games and is averaging about that on the season as well.   After scoring 7 runs yesterday the Rangers bats get it done again today and we also look for Heaney's early season struggles to continue. That combination of factors will help to turn this into a high-scoring back and forth battle.  Over is the call in this one Wednesday evening.

ASA top play on Dallas Mavericks -2.5 vs LA Clippers, 10 PM ET - This line smells! It’s fishy to begin with, then Dallas gets hammered with $ and it moves from -1 to the current number of -3. If it’s too good to be true, then it isn’t! Back the Mavericks here off that disappointing Game 4 loss at home as they are 20-13 ATS this season when coming off a loss with a positive plus/minus. As an away favorite the Mavs have been outstanding this season at 19-5 ATS with an average Margin of Victory of +7.4PPG. The LA Clippers have been home underdogs just 6 times this season and are 2-4 ATS in those games with an average differential of minus -9.5PPG. Kyrie was amazing last game and carried the load as Luka had an off night. If both players are on their game tonight the Clippers will be in trouble in this critical Game 5. Bet contrarian here and take Dallas minus the points.

#961 ASA PLAY ON Texas Rangers -1.5 on the Run Line (+100) over Washington Nationals, Thursday at 2:35 PM ET - Rangers off a shutout loss 1-0 yesterday.  Bounce back spot here for Texas and they have a solid pitching edge here too.  Mitchell Parker gets the start for the Nationals and he has been shaky in both his road starts including the most recent one.  That was against a weak hitting Marlins team in Miami and Parker had to navigate 8 baserunners in just 4 innings and was fortunate to allow only 1 run.  The Rangers are going with Nathan Eovaldi here and, though he has had some issues with walks this season, he has been strong overall at home and has a huge experience edge over Parker here.  Eovaldi is entering his 14th season and he has a 2.04 ERA at home and has piled up strikeouts there!  The Rangers are 10-1 this season when off a loss by a margin of 4 or less runs and that includes 8 in a row!  This spot should make 9 in a row as Washington is 1-5 this season when off a road win by a margin of 2 or less runs.  Remember last season only ONE team in the NL had fewer wins than the Nationals.  As for the Rangers, they are the defending World Series Champions (Eovaldi was 5-0 in P/O and was the winning pitcher in the World Series clincher)!  Given that, as well as all of the above and the great situational support, this is a superb spot.  Big edges in this one and a home blowout is our call.  We think we're getting some nice value in laying -1.5 runs in this one and getting a price in the even money range with the Rangers.  Great spot to grab the solid value with the 1.5 runs!  Lay it! 

#224405 ASA PLAY ON Bayer Leverkusen over Roma, Thursday at 3 PM ET - This one in Europa League action and is a 1st Leg game.  These are the Semi-Finals and Bayer Leverkusen just won the Bundesliga and they are favored here on the road, certainly not by accident!  This is a strong team that wants to make a statement here and get the upper hand in this one before the match-up shifts to Germany for the 2nd Leg game.  We like the fact that Bayer Leverkusen has given up only 4 goals over 7 games!  Unbelievably this solid team has gone 46 games unbeaten and 38 of the games were wins!  Roma has allowed 7 goals in 4 games and lost their most recent home game 3 to 1.  Another reason to like the road team in this one even more.  This is also revenge for Bayer Leverkusen as they lost last year in Europa League to Roma by an aggregate of 1 to 0 after losing in Champions League 8 years earlier by an aggregate of 7-6.  The Bundesliga champions are ready to make up for all this with a win in the rematch.  The best way to increase the odds of that is to get a road win in the 1st Leg and our computer math model shows strong odds of that for Thursday!  Take Bayer Leverkusen on Thursday afternoon.